Market Update for September 7-14, 2026
In brief
This week’s preliminary housing report shows a median sale price of $430,000, about 3.4% below the same period last year, with roughly five months of available inventory. I break down what those numbers mean for buyers and sellers, where prices and selling times differ across local communities, and why your neighborhood matters more than a broad market headline.
What This Week’s Housing Numbers Mean for Buyers and Sellers
Market update for September 7–14, 2026**
If you’re thinking about buying or selling a home, the numbers in this week’s report deserve a closer look. The median sale price is lower than it was during the same period last year, available inventory represents about five months of sales, and homes are still closing across a wide range of prices. My read is that buyers have room to evaluate their options and sellers need to pay close attention to their competition. But your experience will depend heavily on the neighborhood, price range, condition of the home, and the alternatives available nearby.
Before we get into the numbers, this is a preliminary report. The latest recorded closing in the September 7–14 dataset is dated September 12, so the final two days are not yet reflected in the closing records. The sales count and total dollar volume are incomplete, and prices, marketing times, and percentages can also change as additional closings are reported. I would use this update to understand the current picture while being careful about drawing conclusions from a single week.
| Measure | September 7–14, 2026, preliminary | August 31–September 7, 2026 | September 7–14, 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Recorded closed sales | 1,064 | 1,733 | 1,319 |
| Total value of closed sales | $596.0 million | $973.0 million | $765.3 million |
| Median sale price | $430,000 | $430,115 | $445,000 |
| Average sale price | $560,182 | $561,448 | $580,206 |
| Median days on market | 60 | 64 | 65 |
| Average days on market | 92.7 | 91.9 | 88.9 |
| Reported sale-to-list price ratio | 97.8% | 97.1% | 97.4% |
| 10th-percentile sale price | $197,920 | $200,000 | $233,800 |
| 90th-percentile sale price | $950,000 | $975,000 | $875,000 |
The number most people will notice first is the $430,000 median sale price, compared with $445,000 during the same period last year. That is a difference of $15,000, or approximately 3.4%, while the change from the prior week is just $115. Median means the middle sale price when all the sales are arranged from lowest to highest. It gives us a useful reference point, but it does not mean every homeowner’s property lost 3.4% of its value. A different mix of homes selling can move the median even when comparable properties have not changed by the same amount.
The average sale price is higher at $560,182 because expensive sales can pull an average upward. The percentile figures show how wide the range is, with roughly 10% of recorded sales below $197,920 and roughly 10% above $950,000. Those are descriptions of the homes that closed in this sample, not minimum and maximum prices or estimates of what any particular home is worth. Your own property needs to be evaluated against homes that are reasonably comparable in location, size, condition, and features.
The monthly figures provide more perspective than one incomplete week. In the monthly series supplied for this report, the median reached $449,000 in March and was $435,000 in August, with September also at $435,000 so far. That puts the current monthly median about 3.1% below the March figure. Recorded sales reached 8,221 in April, compared with 7,730 in June, 6,897 in July, and 6,118 in August. September has 2,171 recorded sales so far, but a partial month should not be compared directly with a completed month. The spring-to-summer decline is visible in this series, although these figures alone do not separate seasonal changes from a broader shift in demand.
Inventory is another important part of the picture. The snapshot includes 31,756 active listings and 4,461 properties under contract, with active listings carrying a median asking price of $430,000 and an average asking price of $687,073. Under contract means an agreement has been reached but the transaction has not necessarily closed. The report also shows 19,146 closed sales over the preceding 90 days, equivalent to roughly 6,382 per month using a three-month approximation. Dividing active inventory by that monthly pace gives us approximately five months of supply.
Months of supply estimates how long the available inventory would last if homes continued selling at that pace and no additional listings entered the market. It does not mean your home will take five months to sell, and it is not a prediction that every current listing will sell within that time. My interpretation is that this level is consistent with a more balanced market overall, with potential negotiating opportunities in individual neighborhoods and price ranges. We still need to look at the competing homes around a particular property before deciding how much leverage either side has. The fact that the active-listing median and weekly sold median are both $430,000 also does not mean homes generally sell for their asking price, because those figures describe different groups of properties.
The marketing-time figures show why broad averages need context. Homes that closed in the current weekly sample had a median of 60 days on market, compared with 64 the previous week and 65 during the same period last year. However, the average increased to 92.7 days, compared with 91.9 and 88.9 days in those earlier periods. That combination is consistent with some longer-running listings pulling the average upward even as the middle sale had a shorter marketing period. These are reported days on market, and the source’s exact counting rules were not provided, so I would not present 60 days as a guaranteed timeline from listing a home to receiving the proceeds.
Active listings averaged 136.8 days on market, compared with 92.7 days for this week’s closed sales. That tells us the homes still available and the homes that closed have different marketing histories. It does not establish that every older listing is overpriced or explain why an individual property has remained available. Price, condition, location, showing access, construction timing, and seller circumstances are all things I would investigate. For a seller, the useful question is what buyers can purchase instead of your home and how your property compares.
The reported sale-to-list ratio of 97.8% also needs an explanation. As an illustration, a sale at $489,000 is 97.8% of a $500,000 asking price, a difference of $11,000. That does not mean a buyer should automatically offer 2.2% below asking or that a seller should budget for exactly that discount. This report does not specify whether the comparison uses original or final asking prices, and it does not give us the seller credits, repair allowances, or other negotiated terms. The weekly figure is slightly above the monthly range of 97.2%–97.6% supplied for the year, but it is still preliminary and comes from a different reporting window.
Local differences are substantial, as the city figures below show. These are selected cities within the supplied report, and their totals do not account for every closing in the overall dataset. The last column is average days on market, which can be influenced by a small number of properties with unusually long marketing histories. I would use this table to identify where to investigate further, then narrow the search to the neighborhood and type of home involved.
| City | Recorded closings | Total sales value | Median sale price | Average days on market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix | 175 | $89.9 million | $400,000 | 73 |
| Mesa | 88 | $39.5 million | $420,000 | 59 |
| Scottsdale | 77 | $101.8 million | $950,000 | 68 |
| Peoria | 52 | $26.0 million | $447,500 | 65 |
| Glendale | 43 | $22.7 million | $490,000 | 91 |
| Gilbert | 41 | $26.7 million | $532,000 | 70 |
| Chandler | 40 | $29.3 million | $574,950 | 63 |
| Buckeye | 39 | $14.6 million | $373,000 | 198 |
| Surprise | 34 | $14.9 million | $422,199 | 106 |
| San Tan Valley | 31 | $14.2 million | $410,000 | 139 |
| Queen Creek | 26 | $20.7 million | $652,500 | 105 |
| Goodyear | 26 | $12.3 million | $441,495 | 63 |
| Maricopa | 25 | $8.0 million | $330,000 | 112 |
Scottsdale recorded $101.8 million in sales across 77 closings, compared with Phoenix’s $89.9 million across 175 closings. That is how a smaller number of expensive properties can generate more dollar volume, and it is why sales volume and the number of transactions answer different questions. Buckeye’s 198-day average also stands out, alongside 139 days in San Tan Valley and 112 in Maricopa. Those figures deserve attention, but they do not tell us that every seller in those communities is willing to negotiate or that new construction caused the longer times. We would need to examine the individual listings and the mix of properties before making those claims.
Price ranges offer another way to understand what closed during the week. Homes between $300,000 and $750,000 accounted for 676 transactions, or approximately 63.5% of recorded closings. That makes this range the largest part of the completed sales activity in the report. It does not tell us how quickly all available homes in that range are selling, because we would also need the number of competing listings in each price band.
| Sale price range | Recorded closings | Share of closings | Median days on market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under $300,000 | 217 | 20.4% | 71 |
| $300,000–$400,000 | 231 | 21.7% | 57 |
| $400,000–$500,000 | 212 | 19.9% | 57 |
| $500,000–$750,000 | 233 | 21.9% | 62 |
| $750,000–$1 million | 75 | 7.0% | 53 |
| $1 million–$2 million | 74 | 7.0% | 66 |
| $2 million and above | 22 | 2.1% | 75 |
The $750,000–$1 million group had the shortest median marketing time at 53 days among the homes that closed. That is worth watching, but 75 completed sales do not establish that buyers throughout that range are more decisive than everyone else. Below $300,000, the median was 71 days and the separately reported average was 134.7 days, again showing how longer-running listings can affect an average. The report does not provide enough detail to attribute that difference to age-restricted housing, outlying communities, or any other specific property category. A lower price alone does not tell us whether a home meets a buyer’s needs or qualifies for their intended financing.
If you’re selling, I would start with the homes a buyer will compare yours against today. Look at recent comparable closings, current competing listings, and the condition and presentation of each property. The $430,000 median is a reference point for this report, not a pricing recommendation for your home. I would also review your showing activity and buyer feedback regularly so you can respond when the evidence tells you something needs to change. Waiting without reviewing the strategy does not give you useful information about why the home has not sold.
If you’re buying, these figures give you a reason to compare your options carefully and ask informed questions. Depending on the property, that conversation may include price, repair requests, closing-cost assistance, or the timing of the move. This dataset does not track concessions, so it cannot tell us which sellers are offering them or how much they will agree to. I would evaluate the complete purchase cost and the specific competition for the home before deciding what to offer. A lower market median does not automatically mean a particular home is a good value for your situation.
My focus at Incyte is helping people understand how these numbers apply to the decision in front of them. A market report should give you better questions to ask and a clearer picture of what needs to be investigated. If you want to understand your neighborhood, price range, or a particular property, we can work through the relevant comparisons together. That is where a broad update becomes useful to your own plans.
This article uses the figures supplied for the September 14, 2026 update. The underlying records, full geographic and property-type coverage, and reporting definitions were not independently verified. Weekly figures remain preliminary, and the supplied dataset does not include the square-footage information needed for price-per-square-foot comparisons.*
